ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Climate and Pandemic Shock Transmission into Household Food Insecurity in Post-Socialist Economies
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Economics, Kyrgyz-Turkish Manas University, Kyrgyzstan
Submission date: 2026-03-11
Final revision date: 2026-04-24
Acceptance date: 2026-05-07
Online publication date: 2026-10-28
Publication date: 2026-10-28
Corresponding author
Dastan Aseinov
Economics, Kyrgyz-Turkish Manas University, mkrn. Djal-29, dom 19, kv. 28, 720038, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan
Economic and Regional Studies 2026;19(3):510-524
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ABSTRACT
Subject and purpose of work: This study examines how climate-related and pandemic-induced economic shocks are associated with household food insecurity across 28 post-socialist economies, contributing novel evidence on whether these shocks operate through distinct transmission channels, price-based versus income-based, and how household savings capacity moderates these relationships. Materials and methods: Using logistic regressions on Life in Transition Survey microdata covering about 28,000 households, we find that climate shocks are primarily associated with price-based vulnerability, while pandemic shocks correspond to income-driven consumption constraints. Results: Compound shock effects appear additive rather than multiplicative, a finding with direct policy relevance where co-occurring crises are increasingly common. Savings buffers are associated with lower food insecurity risk, though this effect weakens against systemic pandemic-type shocks. Conclusions: These results suggest climate adaptation should prioritize price stabilization, while pandemic responses require income protection and broader institutional safety nets. Household savings provide only a partial buffer, highlighting the need for institutional safety nets.